Championship · Scotland · Tulloch Caledonian StadiumInverness CT vs Stenhousemuir prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.93 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
Value bet: Stenhousemuir to win @ 3.50 – our chance 38% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Inverness CT 1.0 – 1.0 Stenhousemuir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Inverness CT and Stenhousemuir on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Inverness CT have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. Stenhousemuir have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. Stenhousemuir come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.0 goals (1.0 for Inverness CT, 1.0 for Stenhousemuir). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (14%).
In their last 2 meetings, Inverness CT have won 0, Stenhousemuir have won 1 and 1 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 52% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.93. For a bigger price, Stenhousemuir to win at 3.50 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Inverness CT to win ✓ | 38% | 2.63 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.68 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 22% | 4.59 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.39 | – |
Form
Inverness CT – last 6
| 25 Sep | vs Morton | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Livingston | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Ayr Utd | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Raith Rovers | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Stenhousemuir | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs Partick | 1–1 | D |
Stenhousemuir – last 6
| 25 Sep | @ Ayr Utd | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Arbroath | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | vs Partick | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Heart Of Midlothian | 0–3 | L |
| 4 Sep | @ Livingston | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Inverness CT | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 29 Aug 2026 | Stenhousemuir v Inverness CT | 3–1 |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Inverness CT v Stenhousemuir | 1–1 |
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Partick | 14 | +11 | 28 |
| 2 |  Raith Rovers | 14 | +11 | 25 |
| 3 |  Dunfermline | 14 | +8 | 25 |
| 4 |  Stenhousemuir | 14 | 0 | 23 |
| 5 |  Livingston | 14 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 |  Inverness CT | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 7 |  Ayr Utd | 13 | -4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Arbroath | 14 | -12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Morton | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 10 |  Queen's Park | 14 | -15 | 7 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?
On our numbers Inverness CT have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stenhousemuir 38%.
How many goals will there be in Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir?
Inverness CT vs Stenhousemuir (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.