Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Raith Rovers to win @ 1.94 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRaith Rovers to win ✓62% · @1.94
Double chanceRaith Rovers or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.35
Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Raith Rovers take on Ayr Utd on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Raith Rovers are 2nd with 25 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Ayr Utd sit 7th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Raith Rovers's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Queen's Park 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ayr Utd's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Kilmarnock 2–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ayr Utd arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 March 2026, finished Raith Rovers 3–0 Ayr Utd.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Raith Rovers and 0.7 for Ayr Utd. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Raith Rovers to win at 1.94 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Raith Rovers or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Raith Rovers 1–0 Ayr Utd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Raith Rovers62%fair 1.61 · @1.94
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Ayr Utd16%fair 6.12 · @3.65
2.36Expected goals
1.67Raith Rovers xG
0.69Ayr Utd xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Raith Rovers 1.7 – 0.7 Ayr Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
Our pick is Raith Rovers or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
On our numbers Raith Rovers have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ayr Utd 16%.
How many goals will there be in Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
Our predicted score is Raith Rovers 1–0 Ayr Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?
Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
