Value bet: Stenhousemuir to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultQueen's Park to win ✗39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.76
Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Queen's Park take on Stenhousemuir on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at The City Stadium. Queen's Park are 10th with 7 points from 14 games (in the bottom three), while Stenhousemuir sit 4th on 23 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Queen's Park's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Raith Rovers 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Stenhousemuir's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Motherwell 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Queen's Park and 1.2 for Stenhousemuir. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Queen's Park 39%, draw 24%, Stenhousemuir 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Stenhousemuir to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Queen's Park 1–1 Stenhousemuir. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Queen's Park39%fair 2.55 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Stenhousemuir37%fair 2.73 · @3.00
2.36Expected goals
1.21Queen's Park xG
1.15Stenhousemuir xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Queen's Park 1.2 – 1.2 Stenhousemuir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Queen's Park to win✗
39%
2.55
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Queen's Park / FT Queen's Park✗
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.76
–
Form
Queen's Park – last 6
LLWLWW
8 Aug
vs Raith Rovers
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Livingston
0–2
L
25 Jul
vs Queen of the South
3–1
W
18 Jul
@ Aberdeen
1–2
L
14 Jul
@ Kelty Hearts
2–1
W
11 Jul
vs Brora Rangers
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Stenhousemuir – last 6
DWDDDW
16 Aug
vs Motherwell
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Morton
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Raith Rovers
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Livingston
0–0
D
21 Jul
@ Partick
2–2
D
18 Jul
@ Brechin
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Queen's Park and Stenhousemuir.
What is the prediction for Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir?
On our numbers Queen's Park have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Stenhousemuir 37%.
How many goals will there be in Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir?
Our predicted score is Queen's Park 1–1 Stenhousemuir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir?
Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
