Value bet: Machida Zelvia to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✗38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.78
Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia preview and prediction
The match
Machida Zelvia travel to Noevir Stadium Kobe in the J1 League on Saturday 24 October (07:00 WAT) to face Vissel Kobe. Vissel Kobe are 1st with 35 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Machida Zelvia sit 3rd on 37 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vissel Kobe's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Kawasaki Frontale 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Machida Zelvia's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Shimizu S-pulse 5–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Machida Zelvia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Vissel Kobe and 1.6 for Machida Zelvia. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Machida Zelvia to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Vissel Kobe 1–1 Machida Zelvia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vissel Kobe36%fair 2.75 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
Machida Zelvia38%fair 2.61 · @2.90
3.14Expected goals
1.55Vissel Kobe xG
1.59Machida Zelvia xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Vissel Kobe 1.5 – 1.6 Machida Zelvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Machida Zelvia to win✗
38%
2.61
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.78
–
Form
Vissel Kobe – last 6
LWWLWW
21 Oct
@ Kawasaki Frontale
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Fagiano Okayama
3–0
W
14 Oct
vs Jeonbuk Motors
2–0
W
9 Oct
@ Kashiwa Reysol
2–4
L
23 Sep
vs Sagan Tosu
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Gamba Osaka
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Machida Zelvia – last 6
WWWWDW
21 Oct
@ Shimizu S-pulse
5–0
W
18 Oct
vs Avispa Fukuoka
3–0
W
15 Oct
@ Tampines Rovers
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Kyoto Sanga
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Kyoto Sanga
0–0
D
23 Sep
vs Tochigi City
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vissel Kobe and Machida Zelvia.
What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?
On our numbers Vissel Kobe have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Machida Zelvia 38%.
How many goals will there be in Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?
Our predicted score is Vissel Kobe 1–1 Machida Zelvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia?
Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Noevir Stadium Kobe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima4
Shimizu S-pulse0
Avispa Fukuoka1
Gamba Osaka2
Kyoto Sanga2