Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka preview and prediction
The match
Tokyo Verdy host Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 07:00 (WAT) at Ajinomoto Stadium. Tokyo Verdy are 5th with 28 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Avispa Fukuoka sit 10th on 21 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Tokyo Verdy's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Yokohama F. Marinos 2–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Avispa Fukuoka's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Gamba Osaka 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Tokyo Verdy and 1.4 for Avispa Fukuoka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tokyo Verdy 34%, draw 24%, Avispa Fukuoka 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.15.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 2.15, above our fair price of 1.87, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tokyo Verdy 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tokyo Verdy34%fair 2.95 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.90
Avispa Fukuoka42%fair 2.36 · @2.40
2.55Expected goals
1.19Tokyo Verdy xG
1.36Avispa Fukuoka xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Tokyo Verdy 1.2 – 1.4 Avispa Fukuoka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avispa Fukuoka to win✗
42%
2.36
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avispa Fukuoka / FT Avispa Fukuoka✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.60
–
Form
Tokyo Verdy – last 6
DLLDDL
21 Oct
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs FC Tokyo
0–4
L
11 Oct
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–2
L
7 Oct
@ Gainare Tottori
0–0
D
29 Sep
@ Sagan Tosu
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Urawa
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Avispa Fukuoka – last 6
LLLWLD
21 Oct
vs Gamba Osaka
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Machida Zelvia
0–3
L
14 Oct
@ Sagan Tosu
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Fagiano Okayama
2–1
W
7 Oct
vs Yokohama FC
0–1
L
29 Sep
@ Osaka
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tokyo Verdy and Avispa Fukuoka.
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka?
On our numbers Tokyo Verdy have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Avispa Fukuoka 42%.
How many goals will there be in Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our predicted score is Tokyo Verdy 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Tokyo Verdy vs Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima4
Shimizu S-pulse0
Vissel Kobe0
Gamba Osaka2
Kyoto Sanga2