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J1 League · Japan · Mercari Stadium

Kashima

DWWWW
2–3
FT

Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultKashima to win ✗46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.72

Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol preview and prediction

The match

The J1 League sees Kashima take on Kashiwa Reysol on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 07:00 (WAT) at Mercari Stadium. Kashima are 1st with 45 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Kashiwa Reysol sit 8th on 20 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Kashima's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Kyoto Sanga 2–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Kashiwa Reysol's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with FC Tokyo 0–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.

Kashima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 24 April 2026, finished Kashiwa Reysol 0–1 Kashima. Across their last 2 meetings Kashima have won 2, Kashiwa Reysol 0, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.0 for Kashima and 1.7 for Kashiwa Reysol. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kashima 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Kashima46%fair 2.18 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.40
Kashiwa Reysol33%fair 3.01 · @2.88
3.64Expected goals
1.98Kashima xG
1.66Kashiwa Reysol xG
63%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
3–16%
1–05%

From our goals model: Kashima 2.0 – 1.7 Kashiwa Reysol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKashima to win ✗46%2.182.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗51%1.97–
Half-time resultKashima ahead at half-time ✗36%2.75–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kashima / FT Kashima ✗28%3.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.72–

Form

Kashima – last 6

DWWWWD
21 Oct@ Kyoto Sanga2–2D
17 Octvs V-varen Nagasaki2–0W
13 Oct@ Công An Nhân Dân1–0W
9 Octvs Gamba Osaka2–0W
23 Sepvs Ventforet Kofu3–1W
19 Sep@ Kawasaki Frontale3–3D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Kashiwa Reysol – last 6

DLWWDW
21 Oct@ FC Tokyo0–0D
17 Octvs Nagoya Grampus1–3L
14 Octvs Port FC5–1W
9 Octvs Vissel Kobe4–2W
3 Octvs Gamba Osaka3–3D
23 Sepvs Imabari4–0W
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026Kashiwa Reysol v Kashima0–1
21 Feb 2026Kashima v Kashiwa Reysol2–0
Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima181503+2045
2FC Tokyo181305+1437
3Machida Zelvia181305+637
4Kawasaki Frontale181008-228
5Tokyo Verdy181008-428
6Urawa187011+325
7Yokohama F. Marinos186012-320
8Kashiwa Reysol187011-220
9Mito Hollyhock186012-1618
10JEF United Chiba183015-1612

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol?

On our numbers Kashima have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kashiwa Reysol 33%.

How many goals will there be in Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Our predicted score is Kashima 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Kashima vs Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Mercari Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.