Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Vissel Kobe to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVissel Kobe to win ✓60% · @1.90
Double chanceVissel Kobe or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Vissel Kobe take on Cerezo Osaka on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Noevir Stadium. Vissel Kobe are 1st with 35 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Cerezo Osaka sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Vissel Kobe's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Veroskronos Tsuno 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Cerezo Osaka's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat FC Gifu 3–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cerezo Osaka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Vissel Kobe and 0.7 for Cerezo Osaka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Vissel Kobe to win at 1.90 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vissel Kobe or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vissel Kobe 1–0 Cerezo Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vissel Kobe60%fair 1.68 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.50
Cerezo Osaka15%fair 6.84 · @3.95
2.41Expected goals
1.69Vissel Kobe xG
0.72Cerezo Osaka xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Vissel Kobe 1.7 – 0.7 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vissel Kobe to win✓
60%
1.68
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Vissel Kobe or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vissel Kobe / FT Vissel Kobe✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.84
–
Form
Vissel Kobe – last 6
WLDWWD
26 Aug
vs Veroskronos Tsuno
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs FC Tokyo
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
W
22 Jul
vs Imabari
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Consadole Sapporo
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cerezo Osaka – last 6
WWLWWW
26 Aug
vs FC Gifu
3–1
W
22 Aug
vs Shimizu S-pulse
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Avispa Fukuoka
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Fagiano Okayama
2–1
W
29 Jul
vs Borussia Dortmund
1–0
W
15 Jul
vs Tochigi City
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vissel Kobe and Cerezo Osaka.
What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our pick is Vissel Kobe or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?
On our numbers Vissel Kobe have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cerezo Osaka 15%.
How many goals will there be in Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our predicted score is Vissel Kobe 1–0 Cerezo Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?
Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Noevir Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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