Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.42
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Osaka preview and prediction
The match
Osaka travel to Sunpro Alwin in the J3 League on Saturday 5 September (10:00 WAT) to face Matsumoto Yamaga. Matsumoto Yamaga are 15th with 17 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Osaka sit 6th on 29 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Matsumoto Yamaga's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Kitakyushu 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Osaka's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Ventforet Kofu 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Osaka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.4 for Osaka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Matsumoto Yamaga41%fair 2.44 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.10
Osaka35%fair 2.86 · @3.00
2.88Expected goals
1.51Matsumoto Yamaga xG
1.37Osaka xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Matsumoto Yamaga 1.5 – 1.4 Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Matsumoto Yamaga to win✗
41%
2.44
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.42
–
Form
Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6
DDLDWL
30 Aug
@ Kitakyushu
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Ehime FC
2–2
D
16 Aug
vs Biwako Shiga
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ Kochi United
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Ventforet Kofu
3–0
W
6 Jun
vs Nara Club
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Osaka – last 6
WDDDWW
2 Sep
vs Ventforet Kofu
3–0
W
30 Aug
@ Renofa Yamaguchi
0–0
D
26 Aug
@ Shimizu S-pulse
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs FC Ryukyu
2–2
D
19 Aug
@ Nara Club
4–1
W
16 Aug
vs Parceiro Nagano
4–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Matsumoto Yamaga and Osaka.
What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Osaka?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Osaka?
On our numbers Matsumoto Yamaga have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Osaka 35%.
How many goals will there be in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Osaka?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Osaka?
Our predicted score is Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Osaka?
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Osaka (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Sunpro Alwin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
