Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Sagamihara to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSagamihara to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceSagamihara or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.51
Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano preview and prediction
The match
The J3 League sees Sagamihara take on Parceiro Nagano on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 10:00 (WAT) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium. Sagamihara are 3rd with 31 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Parceiro Nagano sit 10th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sagamihara's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Jubilo Iwata 0–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Parceiro Nagano's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Thespakusatsu Gunma 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Sagamihara and 0.9 for Parceiro Nagano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Sagamihara to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sagamihara 1–0 Parceiro Nagano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sagamihara60%fair 1.66 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.10
Parceiro Nagano19%fair 5.22 · @4.20
2.75Expected goals
1.84Sagamihara xG
0.91Parceiro Nagano xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Sagamihara 1.8 – 0.9 Parceiro Nagano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sagamihara to win✗
60%
1.66
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Sagamihara or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Sagamihara ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sagamihara / FT Sagamihara✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.51
–
Form
Sagamihara – last 6
LLWWDW
2 Sep
vs Jubilo Iwata
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ FC Ryukyu
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Kanazawa
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Thespakusatsu Gunma
4–1
W
8 Aug
vs Roasso Kumamoto
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Roasso Kumamoto
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Parceiro Nagano – last 6
LLWWLW
30 Aug
vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1–2
L
26 Aug
@ FC Tokyo
0–6
L
22 Aug
@ Roasso Kumamoto
1–0
W
19 Aug
vs Fukui United
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Osaka
2–4
L
8 Aug
vs Renofa Yamaguchi
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sagamihara and Parceiro Nagano.
What is the prediction for Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano?
Our pick is Sagamihara to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano?
On our numbers Sagamihara have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Parceiro Nagano 19%.
How many goals will there be in Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano?
Our predicted score is Sagamihara 1–0 Parceiro Nagano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano?
Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
