Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Tochigi SC to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTochigi SC to win ✓64% · @1.91
Double chanceTochigi SC or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Tochigi SC vs Kochi United preview and prediction
The match
Tochigi SC host Kochi United in the J3 League on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi. Tochigi SC are 12th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Kochi United sit 20th on 9 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tochigi SC's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to FC Gifu 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Kochi United's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Roasso Kumamoto 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Tochigi SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Tochigi SC and 1.0 for Kochi United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tochigi SC 64%, draw 22%, Kochi United 15%.
Safer route: Tochigi SC or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Tochigi SC to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tochigi SC or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tochigi SC 2–1 Kochi United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tochigi SC64%fair 1.57 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @2.90
Kochi United15%fair 6.73 · @3.90
3.25Expected goals
2.23Tochigi SC xG
1.02Kochi United xG
56%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Tochigi SC 2.2 – 1.0 Kochi United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tochigi SC to win✓
64%
1.57
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Tochigi SC or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Tochigi SC ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tochigi SC / FT Tochigi SC✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Form
Tochigi SC – last 6
LLDWDW
29 Aug
@ FC Gifu
1–4
L
26 Aug
@ Kawasaki Frontale
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Kitakyushu
2–2
D
19 Aug
vs Urayasu
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Roasso Kumamoto
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs Kanazawa
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kochi United – last 6
LWLLDL
30 Aug
vs Roasso Kumamoto
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs Kamatamare Sanuki
2–1
W
19 Aug
@ Verspah Oita
0–3
L
15 Aug
@ FC Gifu
0–7
L
8 Aug
vs Matsumoto Yamaga
0–0
D
6 Jun
@ Omiya Ardija
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tochigi SC and Kochi United.
What is the prediction for Tochigi SC vs Kochi United?
Our pick is Tochigi SC or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs Kochi United?
On our numbers Tochigi SC have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kochi United 15%.
How many goals will there be in Tochigi SC vs Kochi United?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tochigi SC vs Kochi United?
Our predicted score is Tochigi SC 2–1 Kochi United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Tochigi SC vs Kochi United?
Tochigi SC vs Kochi United (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
