Value bet: Gainare Tottori to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGainare Tottori to win ✗41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.97
Gainare Tottori vs Renofa Yamaguchi preview and prediction
The match
The J3 League sees Gainare Tottori take on Renofa Yamaguchi on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Axis Bird Stadium. Gainare Tottori are 17th with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Renofa Yamaguchi sit 5th on 30 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gainare Tottori's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Omiya Ardija 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Renofa Yamaguchi's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Fujieda MYFC 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Gainare Tottori arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Gainare Tottori 4–1 Renofa Yamaguchi.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Gainare Tottori and 0.9 for Renofa Yamaguchi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Value angle: Gainare Tottori to win at 2.90 – 41% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Gainare Tottori 1–1 Renofa Yamaguchi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gainare Tottori41%fair 2.45 · @2.90
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.90
Renofa Yamaguchi35%fair 2.89 · @2.20
2.00Expected goals
1.06Gainare Tottori xG
0.94Renofa Yamaguchi xG
56%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gainare Tottori 1.1 – 0.9 Renofa Yamaguchi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gainare Tottori vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Gainare Tottori vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
On our numbers Gainare Tottori have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Renofa Yamaguchi 35%.
How many goals will there be in Gainare Tottori vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gainare Tottori vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Our predicted score is Gainare Tottori 1–1 Renofa Yamaguchi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Gainare Tottori vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Gainare Tottori vs Renofa Yamaguchi (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Axis Bird Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
