Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime FC prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
2
Value bet: Ehime FC to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEhime FC to win ✗48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.12
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime FC preview and prediction
The match
The J3 League sees Matsumoto Yamaga take on Ehime FC on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 10:00 (WAT) at Sunpro Alwin. Matsumoto Yamaga are 15th with 17 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Ehime FC sit 7th on 29 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Matsumoto Yamaga's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Biwako Shiga 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ehime FC's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Pacific University 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.5 for Matsumoto Yamaga and 2.0 for Ehime FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Matsumoto Yamaga 30%, draw 22%, Ehime FC 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Ehime FC to win at 2.25 – 48% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Ehime FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Matsumoto Yamaga30%fair 3.36 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.10
Ehime FC48%fair 2.07 · @2.25
3.50Expected goals
1.52Matsumoto Yamaga xG
1.98Ehime FC xG
60%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Matsumoto Yamaga 1.5 – 2.0 Ehime FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ehime FC to win✗
48%
2.07
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Ehime FC ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ehime FC / FT Ehime FC✗
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.12
–
Form
Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6
LDWLDW
16 Aug
vs Biwako Shiga
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ Kochi United
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Ventforet Kofu
3–0
W
6 Jun
vs Nara Club
0–2
L
31 May
@ Montedio Yamagata
1–1
D
6 May
@ FC Gifu
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ehime FC – last 6
WWWLLL
19 Aug
vs Pacific University
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs Gainare Tottori
4–0
W
9 Aug
vs Nara Club
4–1
W
6 Jun
@ Fujieda MYFC
0–1
L
30 May
vs Roasso Kumamoto
0–1
L
23 May
@ Albirex Niigata
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Matsumoto Yamaga and Ehime FC.
What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime FC?
On our numbers Matsumoto Yamaga have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ehime FC 48%.
How many goals will there be in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime FC?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime FC?
Our predicted score is Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Ehime FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime FC?
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ehime FC (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Sunpro Alwin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
