Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Tochigi SC to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTochigi SC to win ✗62% · @1.91
Double chanceTochigi SC or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.24
Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu preview and prediction
The match
Kitakyushu travel to Kanseki Stadium Tochigi in the J3 League on Saturday 22 August (11:00 WAT) to face Tochigi SC. Tochigi SC are 12th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Kitakyushu sit 13th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Tochigi SC's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Urayasu 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kitakyushu's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Okinawa SV 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Tochigi SC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 June 2026, finished Tochigi SC 1–1 Kitakyushu.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Tochigi SC and 0.4 for Kitakyushu. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Tochigi SC to win at 1.91 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tochigi SC or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Tochigi SC 1–0 Kitakyushu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tochigi SC62%fair 1.61 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.00
Kitakyushu17%fair 5.97 · @3.60
1.67Expected goals
1.25Tochigi SC xG
0.42Kitakyushu xG
42%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
0–019%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
3–06%
From our goals model: Tochigi SC 1.3 – 0.4 Kitakyushu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu?
Our pick is Tochigi SC or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu?
On our numbers Tochigi SC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kitakyushu 17%.
How many goals will there be in Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu?
Our predicted score is Tochigi SC 1–0 Kitakyushu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu?
Tochigi SC vs Kitakyushu (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
