Value bet: Parceiro Nagano to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRoasso Kumamoto to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 16.08
Roasso Kumamoto vs Parceiro Nagano preview and prediction
The match
Parceiro Nagano travel to Egao Kenko Stadium in the J3 League on Saturday 22 August (11:00 WAT) to face Roasso Kumamoto. Roasso Kumamoto are 8th with 24 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Parceiro Nagano sit 10th on 23 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Roasso Kumamoto's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Gainare Tottori 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Parceiro Nagano's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Fukui United 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Parceiro Nagano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Roasso Kumamoto and 0.8 for Parceiro Nagano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely.
Value angle: Parceiro Nagano to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Roasso Kumamoto 1–1 Parceiro Nagano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Roasso Kumamoto42%fair 2.41 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Parceiro Nagano34%fair 2.91 · @3.20
1.75Expected goals
0.94Roasso Kumamoto xG
0.81Parceiro Nagano xG
54%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Roasso Kumamoto 0.9 – 0.8 Parceiro Nagano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roasso Kumamoto to win✗
42%
2.41
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
16.08
–
Form
Roasso Kumamoto – last 6
DDDLLW
19 Aug
@ Gainare Tottori
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Tochigi SC
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Sagamihara
0–0
D
19 Jul
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
1–3
L
6 Jun
@ Sagamihara
0–3
L
30 May
@ Ehime FC
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Parceiro Nagano – last 6
WLWLWL
19 Aug
vs Fukui United
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Osaka
2–4
L
8 Aug
vs Renofa Yamaguchi
1–0
W
12 Jul
vs Iwaki
1–3
L
17 May
@ Omiya Ardija
2–1
W
9 May
vs FC Gifu
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roasso Kumamoto and Parceiro Nagano.
What is the prediction for Roasso Kumamoto vs Parceiro Nagano?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Parceiro Nagano?
On our numbers Roasso Kumamoto have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Parceiro Nagano 34%.
How many goals will there be in Roasso Kumamoto vs Parceiro Nagano?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roasso Kumamoto vs Parceiro Nagano?
Our predicted score is Roasso Kumamoto 1–1 Parceiro Nagano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Roasso Kumamoto vs Parceiro Nagano?
Roasso Kumamoto vs Parceiro Nagano (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Egao Kenko Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
