Nara Club vs Renofa Yamaguchi prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Renofa Yamaguchi or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Renofa Yamaguchi to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRenofa Yamaguchi to win ✗64% · @1.95
Double chanceRenofa Yamaguchi or draw ✗85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Nara Club vs Renofa Yamaguchi preview and prediction
The match
Nara Club host Renofa Yamaguchi in the J3 League on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT) at Konoike Athletic Stadium. Nara Club are 1st with 32 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Renofa Yamaguchi sit 5th on 30 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nara Club's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Osaka 1–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Renofa Yamaguchi's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Kagoshima United 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Nara Club arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.8 for Nara Club and 1.9 for Renofa Yamaguchi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nara Club 15%, draw 21%, Renofa Yamaguchi 64%.
Safer route: Renofa Yamaguchi or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Renofa Yamaguchi to win at 1.95 – 64% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Renofa Yamaguchi or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nara Club 0–1 Renofa Yamaguchi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nara Club15%fair 6.46 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.10
Renofa Yamaguchi64%fair 1.57 · @1.95
2.75Expected goals
0.82Nara Club xG
1.93Renofa Yamaguchi xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–06%
From our goals model: Nara Club 0.8 – 1.9 Renofa Yamaguchi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Renofa Yamaguchi to win✗
64%
1.57
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Renofa Yamaguchi or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Renofa Yamaguchi ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Renofa Yamaguchi / FT Renofa Yamaguchi✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.24
–
Form
Nara Club – last 6
LLLWDW
19 Aug
vs Osaka
1–4
L
16 Aug
vs Kagoshima United
1–3
L
9 Aug
@ Ehime FC
1–4
L
6 Jun
@ Matsumoto Yamaga
2–0
W
30 May
vs Oita Trinita
3–3
D
23 May
vs Kataller Toyama
5–1
W
2.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Renofa Yamaguchi – last 6
LWLLDL
19 Aug
@ Kagoshima United
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs FC Ryukyu
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Parceiro Nagano
0–1
L
6 Jun
@ Yokohama FC
1–2
L
30 May
@ Kochi United
2–2
D
9 May
vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nara Club and Renofa Yamaguchi.
What is the prediction for Nara Club vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Our pick is Renofa Yamaguchi or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nara Club vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
On our numbers Nara Club have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Renofa Yamaguchi 64%.
How many goals will there be in Nara Club vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nara Club vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Our predicted score is Nara Club 0–1 Renofa Yamaguchi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Nara Club vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Nara Club vs Renofa Yamaguchi (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Konoike Athletic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
