Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.36Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.45 – our chance 56% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +94%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗56% · @3.45
Double chanceHNK Hajduk Split or draw ✗82% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.60
Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split preview and prediction
The match
Žilina host HNK Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 16 July, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Štadión pod Dubňom.
Form guide
Žilina's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to HNK Hajduk Split 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
HNK Hajduk Split's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Žilina 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
HNK Hajduk Split arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 July 2026, finished HNK Hajduk Split 2–0 Žilina.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Žilina and 1.2 for HNK Hajduk Split. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.
Safer route: HNK Hajduk Split or draw (82%) at 1.36.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Draw at 3.45 – 56% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was HNK Hajduk Split or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.36, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Žilina 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Žilina18%fair 5.54 · @3.00
Draw56%fair 1.78 · @3.45
HNK Hajduk Split26%fair 3.87 · @2.14
2.32Expected goals
1.08Žilina xG
1.24HNK Hajduk Split xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Žilina 1.1 – 1.2 HNK Hajduk Split expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our pick is HNK Hajduk Split or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split?
On our numbers Žilina have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 56% and HNK Hajduk Split 26%.
How many goals will there be in Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Our predicted score is Žilina 1–1 HNK Hajduk Split, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split?
Žilina vs HNK Hajduk Split (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Štadión pod Dubňom.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.