Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultQarabag to win ✓77% · @1.06
Double chanceQarabag or draw ✓94% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.11
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13% · fair 7.52
Vestri vs Qarabag preview and prediction
The match
Vestri host Qarabag in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 16 July, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Throttarvollur.
Form guide
Vestri's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Fylkir 2–5 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Qarabag's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Vestri 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 July 2026, finished Qarabag 3–0 Vestri.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 0.6 for Vestri and 2.6 for Qarabag. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 45%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vestri 6%, draw 16%, Qarabag 77%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.11.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Vestri 0–3 Qarabag. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vestri6%fair 16.34 · @30.00
Draw16%fair 6.10 · @8.70
Qarabag77%fair 1.29 · @1.06
3.20Expected goals
0.65Vestri xG
2.55Qarabag xG
45%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–311%
0–110%
1–29%
1–37%
0–47%
From our goals model: Vestri 0.6 – 2.6 Qarabag expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Vestri vs Qarabag?
On our numbers Vestri have a 6% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Qarabag 77%.
How many goals will there be in Vestri vs Qarabag?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vestri vs Qarabag?
Our predicted score is Vestri 0–3 Qarabag, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Vestri vs Qarabag?
Vestri vs Qarabag (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 16 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Throttarvollur.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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