Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
1
Value bet: Sagamihara to win @ 2.25 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSagamihara to win ✗49% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto preview and prediction
The match
Sagamihara host Roasso Kumamoto in the J3 League on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium. Sagamihara are 3rd with 31 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Roasso Kumamoto sit 8th on 24 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sagamihara's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Roasso Kumamoto 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Roasso Kumamoto's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Yokohama F. Marinos 1–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sagamihara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 June 2026, finished Sagamihara 3–0 Roasso Kumamoto.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.6 for Sagamihara and 1.2 for Roasso Kumamoto. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Sagamihara to win at 2.25 – 49% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Sagamihara 1–1 Roasso Kumamoto. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sagamihara49%fair 2.03 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.32
Roasso Kumamoto30%fair 3.35 · @2.73
2.85Expected goals
1.64Sagamihara xG
1.21Roasso Kumamoto xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sagamihara 1.6 – 1.2 Roasso Kumamoto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto?
On our numbers Sagamihara have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Roasso Kumamoto 30%.
How many goals will there be in Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Our predicted score is Sagamihara 1–1 Roasso Kumamoto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
