Value bet: Kochi United to win @ 2.38 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKochi United to win ✗46% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.18
Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga preview and prediction
The match
Matsumoto Yamaga travel to Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium in the J3 League on Saturday 8 August (11:00 WAT) to face Kochi United. Kochi United are 20th with 9 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Matsumoto Yamaga sit 15th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Kochi United's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Omiya Ardija 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Matsumoto Yamaga's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Ventforet Kofu 3–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Matsumoto Yamaga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Kochi United and 1.1 for Matsumoto Yamaga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kochi United 46%, draw 22%, Matsumoto Yamaga 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.84.
Value angle: Kochi United to win at 2.38 – 46% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.34. Predicted score: Kochi United 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kochi United46%fair 2.17 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.04
Matsumoto Yamaga32%fair 3.16 · @2.76
2.40Expected goals
1.35Kochi United xG
1.05Matsumoto Yamaga xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Kochi United 1.3 – 1.1 Matsumoto Yamaga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kochi United to win✗
46%
2.17
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.84
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kochi United / FT Kochi United✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.18
–
Form
Kochi United – last 6
LDLLWL
6 Jun
@ Omiya Ardija
1–2
L
30 May
vs Renofa Yamaguchi
2–2
D
24 May
@ Kanazawa
0–2
L
17 May
vs Ehime FC
0–1
L
10 May
@ Kamatamare Sanuki
3–0
W
6 May
@ Imabari
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6
WLDWLL
25 Jul
vs Ventforet Kofu
3–0
W
6 Jun
vs Nara Club
0–2
L
31 May
@ Montedio Yamagata
1–1
D
6 May
@ FC Gifu
3–0
W
3 May
vs Ventforet Kofu
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Parceiro Nagano
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kochi United and Matsumoto Yamaga.
What is the prediction for Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
On our numbers Kochi United have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Matsumoto Yamaga 32%.
How many goals will there be in Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Our predicted score is Kochi United 1–1 Matsumoto Yamaga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga?
Kochi United vs Matsumoto Yamaga (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
