Parceiro Nagano vs Renofa Yamaguchi prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Renofa Yamaguchi or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.27 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.27Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.40 – our chance 54% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +85%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗54% · @3.40
Double chanceRenofa Yamaguchi or draw ✗83% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.72
Parceiro Nagano vs Renofa Yamaguchi preview and prediction
The match
The J3 League sees Parceiro Nagano take on Renofa Yamaguchi on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 10:00 (WAT) at Nagano U Stadium. Parceiro Nagano are 10th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Renofa Yamaguchi sit 5th on 30 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Parceiro Nagano's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Iwaki 1–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Renofa Yamaguchi's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Yokohama FC 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Parceiro Nagano and 1.3 for Renofa Yamaguchi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Renofa Yamaguchi or draw (83%) at 1.27.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.96.
Value angle: Draw at 3.40 – 54% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Renofa Yamaguchi or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.27, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Parceiro Nagano 1–1 Renofa Yamaguchi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Parceiro Nagano17%fair 5.82 · @3.41
Draw54%fair 1.84 · @3.40
Renofa Yamaguchi28%fair 3.52 · @2.05
2.39Expected goals
1.08Parceiro Nagano xG
1.31Renofa Yamaguchi xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Parceiro Nagano 1.1 – 1.3 Renofa Yamaguchi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
54%
1.84
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Renofa Yamaguchi or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.27 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.96 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.21
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Renofa Yamaguchi / FT Renofa Yamaguchi✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.72
–
Form
Parceiro Nagano – last 6
LWLLLW
12 Jul
vs Iwaki
1–3
L
17 May
@ Omiya Ardija
2–1
W
9 May
vs FC Gifu
2–3
L
6 May
@ Consadole Sapporo
0–2
L
29 Apr
vs Fukushima United
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ Matsumoto Yamaga
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Renofa Yamaguchi – last 6
LDLWLW
6 Jun
@ Yokohama FC
1–2
L
30 May
@ Kochi United
2–2
D
9 May
vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0–1
L
6 May
@ Biwako Shiga
4–1
W
2 May
@ Gainare Tottori
1–4
L
29 Apr
vs FC Ryukyu
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parceiro Nagano and Renofa Yamaguchi.
What is the prediction for Parceiro Nagano vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Our pick is Renofa Yamaguchi or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
On our numbers Parceiro Nagano have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 54% and Renofa Yamaguchi 28%.
How many goals will there be in Parceiro Nagano vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parceiro Nagano vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Our predicted score is Parceiro Nagano 1–1 Renofa Yamaguchi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Parceiro Nagano vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Parceiro Nagano vs Renofa Yamaguchi (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Nagano U Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
