Value bet: ASA to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSergipe to win ✗36% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.52
Sergipe vs ASA preview and prediction
The match
ASA travel to face Sergipe in the Serie D on Saturday 27 June (21:00 WAT).
Form guide
Sergipe's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with ASA 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
ASA's last 5: DDDLD Most recently they drew with Sergipe 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished ASA 1–1 Sergipe.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Sergipe and 1.1 for ASA. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sergipe 36%, draw 27%, ASA 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.15.
Value angle: ASA to win at 3.30 – 36% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.15, above our fair price of 1.97, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sergipe 1–1 ASA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sergipe36%fair 2.74 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @2.62
ASA36%fair 2.75 · @3.30
2.27Expected goals
1.14Sergipe xG
1.13ASA xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sergipe 1.1 – 1.1 ASA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Sergipe vs ASA?
On our numbers Sergipe have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and ASA 36%.
How many goals will there be in Sergipe vs ASA?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sergipe vs ASA?
Our predicted score is Sergipe 1–1 ASA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sergipe vs ASA?
Sergipe vs ASA (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Blumenau1
São Luiz1
Santa Catarina1
Sao Jose1
Ipatinga2
Vitória ES0
Maracanã0
Imperatriz0
Trem1
Sampaio Correa2
Água Santa1
Velo Clube1
Iguatu1
Tuna Luso1
Portuguesa1
Sampaio Corrêa RJ0