Tuna Luso travel to Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello in the Serie D on Saturday 27 June (20:00 WAT) to face Iguatu.
Form guide
Iguatu's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Tuna Luso 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Tuna Luso's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Iguatu 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Iguatu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Tuna Luso 1–2 Iguatu.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Iguatu and 0.9 for Tuna Luso. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Iguatu 57%, draw 21%, Tuna Luso 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.80, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Iguatu 1–1 Tuna Luso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Iguatu57%fair 1.77 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.10
Tuna Luso22%fair 4.53 · @4.00
2.64Expected goals
1.70Iguatu xG
0.94Tuna Luso xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Iguatu 1.7 – 0.9 Tuna Luso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Iguatu vs Tuna Luso?
On our numbers Iguatu have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tuna Luso 22%.
How many goals will there be in Iguatu vs Tuna Luso?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iguatu vs Tuna Luso?
Our predicted score is Iguatu 1–1 Tuna Luso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Iguatu vs Tuna Luso?
Iguatu vs Tuna Luso (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.