Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
Serie D · Brazil

Ipatinga

DLLLW
2–0
FT

Vitória ES

DWDDL

Ipatinga vs Vitória ES prediction & analysis

52%
Footrivo pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.92 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.65Odds
2

Value bet: Vitória ES to win @ 3.75 – our chance 34% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultIpatinga to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.66

Ipatinga vs Vitória ES preview and prediction

The match

Ipatinga host Vitória ES in the Serie D on Saturday 27 June, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Ipatinga's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Valeriodoce 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.

Vitória ES's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Vilavelhense 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 20 June 2026, finished Vitória ES 1–0 Ipatinga.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Ipatinga and 0.9 for Vitória ES. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Ipatinga 1–0 Vitória ES. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Ipatinga42%fair 2.36 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.80
Vitória ES34%fair 2.96 · @3.75
1.95Expected goals
1.06Ipatinga xG
0.89Vitória ES xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Ipatinga 1.1 – 0.9 Vitória ES expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIpatinga to win ✓42%2.362.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.921.65
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓51%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗22%4.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.66–

Form

Ipatinga – last 6

DLLLWL
24 Jun@ Valeriodoce1–1D
20 Junvs Valeriodoce0–1L
20 Jun@ Vitória ES0–1L
17 Junvs Villa Nova0–1L
14 Junvs Operario Ferroviario2–1W
12 Jun@ Aymorés0–4L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Vitória ES – last 6

DWDDLL
23 Junvs Vilavelhense0–0D
20 Junvs Ipatinga1–0W
17 Jun@ Vilavelhense2–2D
14 Jun@ Tombense0–0D
6 Junvs Rio Branco-VN0–1L
3 Jun@ Vilavelhense0–1L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Jun 2026Vitória ES v Ipatinga1–0
Ipatinga vs Vitória ES head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Blumenau1 São Luiz1 Pens 1–3 158%1.85X21%2.88221%4.00 1XBlumenau or draw 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Santa Catarina1 Sao Jose1 Pens 2–4 144%2.15X25%2.70231%3.40 GGBoth teams to score 50%@2.10 ✓
FT Maracanã0 Imperatriz0 Pens 6–7 160%1.73X25%3.00215%4.75 1Maracanã to win 60%@1.73 ✗
FT Trem1 Sampaio Correa2 140%2.50X25%2.88235%2.62 GGBoth teams to score 53%@1.83 ✓
FT Água Santa1 Velo Clube1 Pens 1–4 160%1.85X22%2.88217%4.20 1Água Santa to win 60%@1.85 ✗
FT Iguatu1 Tuna Luso1 157%1.80X21%3.10222%4.00 GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.91 ✓
FT Portuguesa1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ0 169%1.25X22%4.5029%11.00 1Portuguesa to win 69%@1.25 ✓
FT Piauí1 Maguary PE0 135%2.90X26%2.75238%2.40 NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.73 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ipatinga vs Vitória ES?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Ipatinga vs Vitória ES?

On our numbers Ipatinga have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vitória ES 34%.

How many goals will there be in Ipatinga vs Vitória ES?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ipatinga vs Vitória ES?

Our predicted score is Ipatinga 1–0 Vitória ES, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Ipatinga vs Vitória ES?

Ipatinga vs Vitória ES (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.