Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Blumenau to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBlumenau to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceBlumenau or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.69
Blumenau vs São Luiz preview and prediction
The match
São Luiz travel to face Blumenau in the Serie D on Saturday 27 June (18:30 WAT).
Form guide
Blumenau's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Caravaggio 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
São Luiz's last 5: DWDDW Most recently they drew with Blumenau 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 June 2026, finished São Luiz 1–1 Blumenau.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.4 for Blumenau and 0.7 for São Luiz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Blumenau 58%, draw 21%, São Luiz 21%.
Safer route: Blumenau or draw (79%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Blumenau to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Blumenau or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Blumenau 1–0 São Luiz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Blumenau58%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @2.88
São Luiz21%fair 4.82 · @4.00
2.09Expected goals
1.42Blumenau xG
0.67São Luiz xG
52%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–012%
0–012%
1–112%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Blumenau 1.4 – 0.7 São Luiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Blumenau or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Blumenau vs São Luiz?
On our numbers Blumenau have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and São Luiz 21%.
How many goals will there be in Blumenau vs São Luiz?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Blumenau vs São Luiz?
Our predicted score is Blumenau 1–0 São Luiz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Blumenau vs São Luiz?
Blumenau vs São Luiz (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.