Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
Serie D · Brazil

CSA

DWDWW
2–0
FT

Lagarto

DWWDD

CSA vs Lagarto prediction & analysis

71%
Footrivo pick

CSA to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultCSA to win ✓71% · @1.30
Double chanceCSA or draw ✓92% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓13% · fair 7.60

CSA vs Lagarto preview and prediction

The match

CSA host Lagarto in the Serie D on Saturday 27 June, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT).

Form guide

CSA's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Lagarto 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.

Lagarto's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with CSA 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

CSA arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Lagarto 1–1 CSA.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.3 for CSA and 0.7 for Lagarto. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was CSA to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: CSA 2–0 Lagarto. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

CSA71%fair 1.40 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.33
Lagarto8%fair 12.95 · @8.50
3.00Expected goals
2.30CSA xG
0.70Lagarto xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: CSA 2.3 – 0.7 Lagarto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCSA to win ✓71%1.401.30
Double chanceCSA or draw ✓92%1.081.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.902.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Half-time resultCSA ahead at half-time ✗53%1.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT CSA / FT CSA ✗49%2.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓13%7.60–

Form

CSA – last 6

DWDWWW
21 Jun@ Lagarto1–1D
14 Jun@ Atlético Alagoinhas7–1W
31 Mayvs Jacuipense1–1D
17 May@ CSE5–1W
5 Aprvs Atlético Alagoinhas3–0W
2 Apr@ ASA3–2W
3.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Lagarto – last 6

DWWDDD
21 Junvs CSA1–1D
14 Junvs Decisão1–0W
30 May@ Treze2–1W
24 May@ Retrô1–1D
17 Mayvs Sergipe1–1D
5 Apr@ Decisão1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Lagarto v CSA1–1
CSA vs Lagarto head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Blumenau1 São Luiz1 Pens 1–3 158%1.85X21%2.88221%4.00 1XBlumenau or draw 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Santa Catarina1 Sao Jose1 Pens 2–4 144%2.15X25%2.70231%3.40 GGBoth teams to score 50%@2.10 ✓
FT Ipatinga2 Vitória ES0 142%2.00X24%2.80234%3.75 NGNot both teams to score 52%@1.65 ✓
FT Maracanã0 Imperatriz0 Pens 6–7 160%1.73X25%3.00215%4.75 1Maracanã to win 60%@1.73 ✗
FT Trem1 Sampaio Correa2 140%2.50X25%2.88235%2.62 GGBoth teams to score 53%@1.83 ✓
FT Água Santa1 Velo Clube1 Pens 1–4 160%1.85X22%2.88217%4.20 1Água Santa to win 60%@1.85 ✗
FT Iguatu1 Tuna Luso1 157%1.80X21%3.10222%4.00 GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.91 ✓
FT Portuguesa1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ0 169%1.25X22%4.5029%11.00 1Portuguesa to win 69%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSA vs Lagarto?

Our pick is CSA to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win CSA vs Lagarto?

On our numbers CSA have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lagarto 8%.

How many goals will there be in CSA vs Lagarto?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CSA vs Lagarto?

Our predicted score is CSA 2–0 Lagarto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is CSA vs Lagarto?

CSA vs Lagarto (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.