Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashima to win ✓60% · @1.83
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.19
Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus preview and prediction
The match
Kashima host Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT) at Kashima Soccer Stadium. Kashima are 1st with 45 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Nagoya Grampus sit 3rd on 31 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kashima's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Yokohama F. Marinos 4–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nagoya Grampus's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Shimizu S-pulse 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Kashima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Kashima and 1.1 for Nagoya Grampus. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kashima 60%, draw 20%, Nagoya Grampus 20%.
Safer route: Kashima or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.00 – 56% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kashima or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Kashima 2–1 Nagoya Grampus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kashima60%fair 1.66 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.45
Nagoya Grampus20%fair 5.11 · @4.20
3.28Expected goals
2.14Kashima xG
1.14Nagoya Grampus xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Kashima 2.1 – 1.1 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✓
60%
1.66
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Kashima or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.28
Half-time result
Kashima ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.19
–
Form
Kashima – last 6
WWWLWW
7 Aug
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
4–3
W
15 Jul
vs Vegalta Sendai
5–0
W
6 Jun
vs Vissel Kobe
2–0
W
30 May
@ Vissel Kobe
0–5
L
23 May
vs FC Tokyo
1–0
W
17 May
@ JEF United Chiba
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nagoya Grampus – last 6
LLLDLL
8 Aug
vs Shimizu S-pulse
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Consadole Sapporo
0–1
L
21 Jul
@ FC Tokyo
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ Machida Zelvia
0–0
D
23 May
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–4
L
17 May
@ Cerezo Osaka
1–6
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashima and Nagoya Grampus.
What is the prediction for Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our pick is Kashima or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus?
On our numbers Kashima have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nagoya Grampus 20%.
How many goals will there be in Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our predicted score is Kashima 2–1 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus?
Kashima vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gamba Osaka1
Shimizu S-pulse0
Fagiano Okayama1
V-varen Nagasaki0
Kyoto Sanga2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima4
Vissel Kobe2
Avispa Fukuoka3
Cerezo Osaka0