Value bet: Cerezo Osaka to win @ 2.62 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✗44% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.21
Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka preview and prediction
The match
Cerezo Osaka travel to Best Denki Stadium in the J1 League on Saturday 15 August (11:00 WAT) to face Avispa Fukuoka. Avispa Fukuoka are 10th with 21 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Cerezo Osaka sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Avispa Fukuoka's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Vissel Kobe 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Cerezo Osaka's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Fagiano Okayama 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Cerezo Osaka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Avispa Fukuoka 0–2 Cerezo Osaka.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.2 for Cerezo Osaka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Cerezo Osaka to win at 2.62 – 44% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Cerezo Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avispa Fukuoka34%fair 2.94 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Cerezo Osaka44%fair 2.28 · @2.62
2.28Expected goals
1.04Avispa Fukuoka xG
1.24Cerezo Osaka xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Avispa Fukuoka 1.0 – 1.2 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
On our numbers Avispa Fukuoka have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cerezo Osaka 44%.
How many goals will there be in Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our predicted score is Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 Cerezo Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka?
Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Best Denki Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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