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Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra

XV de Piracicaba

DLDDW
2–0
FT

América RJ

LDDWW

XV de Piracicaba vs América RJ prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

XV de Piracicaba to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultXV de Piracicaba to win ✓63% · @1.55
Double chanceXV de Piracicaba or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.63

XV de Piracicaba vs América RJ preview and prediction

The match

The Serie D sees XV de Piracicaba take on América RJ on Saturday 27 June, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra.

Form guide

XV de Piracicaba's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with América RJ 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.

América RJ's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to CEAC Araruama 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 20 June 2026, finished América RJ 1–1 XV de Piracicaba.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for XV de Piracicaba and 0.8 for América RJ. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 53%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was XV de Piracicaba to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: XV de Piracicaba 1–0 América RJ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

XV de Piracicaba63%fair 1.59 · @1.55
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.30
América RJ13%fair 7.89 · @5.80
2.68Expected goals
1.91XV de Piracicaba xG
0.77América RJ xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: XV de Piracicaba 1.9 – 0.8 América RJ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultXV de Piracicaba to win ✓63%1.591.55
Double chanceXV de Piracicaba or draw ✓87%1.151.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.902.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗50%1.99–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Half-time resultXV de Piracicaba ahead at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT XV de Piracicaba / FT XV de Piracicaba ✓41%2.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.63–

Form

XV de Piracicaba – last 6

DLDDWW
20 Jun@ América RJ1–1D
7 Jun@ Nova Iguaçu0–1L
30 Mayvs Noroeste1–1D
23 May@ Velo Clube1–1D
15 Apr@ Água Santa1–0W
9 Aprvs Ituano3–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

América RJ – last 6

LDDWWW
24 Junvs CEAC Araruama0–1L
20 Junvs XV de Piracicaba1–1D
13 Jun@ Olaria2–2D
10 Junvs Cabofriense2–1W
6 Junvs Água Santa1–0W
3 Junvs São Gonçalo EC RJ2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Jun 2026América RJ v XV de Piracicaba1–1
XV de Piracicaba vs América RJ head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Blumenau1 São Luiz1 Pens 1–3 158%1.85X21%2.88221%4.00 1XBlumenau or draw 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Santa Catarina1 Sao Jose1 Pens 2–4 144%2.15X25%2.70231%3.40 GGBoth teams to score 50%@2.10 ✓
FT Ipatinga2 Vitória ES0 142%2.00X24%2.80234%3.75 NGNot both teams to score 52%@1.65 ✓
FT Maracanã0 Imperatriz0 Pens 6–7 160%1.73X25%3.00215%4.75 1Maracanã to win 60%@1.73 ✗
FT Trem1 Sampaio Correa2 140%2.50X25%2.88235%2.62 GGBoth teams to score 53%@1.83 ✓
FT Água Santa1 Velo Clube1 Pens 1–4 160%1.85X22%2.88217%4.20 1Água Santa to win 60%@1.85 ✗
FT Iguatu1 Tuna Luso1 157%1.80X21%3.10222%4.00 GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.91 ✓
FT Portuguesa1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ0 169%1.25X22%4.5029%11.00 1Portuguesa to win 69%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for XV de Piracicaba vs América RJ?

Our pick is XV de Piracicaba to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win XV de Piracicaba vs América RJ?

On our numbers XV de Piracicaba have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and América RJ 13%.

How many goals will there be in XV de Piracicaba vs América RJ?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for XV de Piracicaba vs América RJ?

Our predicted score is XV de Piracicaba 1–0 América RJ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is XV de Piracicaba vs América RJ?

XV de Piracicaba vs América RJ (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.