Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
Serie D · Brazil · Passo das Emas

Luverdense

WWDWL
1–1
FT

Ceilândia

LDDD

Luverdense vs Ceilândia prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Luverdense to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLuverdense to win ✗65% · @1.67
Double chanceLuverdense or draw ✓90% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.02

Luverdense vs Ceilândia preview and prediction

The match

The Serie D sees Luverdense take on Ceilândia on Sunday 28 June, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Passo das Emas.

Form guide

Luverdense's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Ceilândia 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Ceilândia's last 4: LDDD Most recently they lost to Luverdense 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Luverdense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 20 June 2026, finished Ceilândia 1–2 Luverdense.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Luverdense and 0.5 for Ceilândia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Luverdense to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Luverdense 1–0 Ceilândia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Luverdense65%fair 1.54 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.10
Ceilândia10%fair 9.89 · @4.80
2.09Expected goals
1.61Luverdense xG
0.48Ceilândia xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–020%
2–016%
0–012%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Luverdense 1.6 – 0.5 Ceilândia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLuverdense to win ✗65%1.541.67 ▲
Double chanceLuverdense or draw ✓90%1.111.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.981.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Luverdense / FT Luverdense ✗40%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%5.02–

Form

Luverdense – last 6

WWDWLL
20 Jun@ Ceilândia2–1W
7 Junvs Inhumas4–0W
31 May@ Brasiliense1–1D
24 Mayvs Aparecidense1–0W
17 May@ Primavera MG0–1L
2 May@ Gama0–4L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ceilândia – last 4

LDDD
20 Junvs Luverdense1–2L
7 Jun@ Mixto1–1D
30 Mayvs Goiatuba EC1–1D
5 Aprvs Mixto0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Jun 2026Ceilândia v Luverdense1–2
Luverdense vs Ceilândia head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Juazeirense0 Serra Branca1 137%2.35X26%2.75237%3.10 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 68%@1.36 ✓
FT Cianorte0 Independiente FSJ1 Pens 5–4 166%1.62X22%3.00212%5.80 1Cianorte to win 66%@1.62 ✗
FT Marcílio Dias2 Cascavel1 140%2.00X26%2.75234%4.00 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✗
FT Noroeste1 Portuguesa RJ3 163%1.95X25%2.90212%3.90 1Noroeste to win 63%@1.95 ✗
FT ABC1 Altos1 165%1.50X25%3.60210%5.50 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓
FT Manauara1 Independência1 176%1.15X16%5.5028%19.00 NGNot both teams to score 54%@1.50 ✗
FT Ferroviario2 Central SC0 158%1.95X24%2.80218%3.90 1XFerroviario or draw 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Nacional AM0 Araguaína0 165%1.50X20%3.40216%6.00 1Nacional AM to win 65%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Luverdense vs Ceilândia?

Our pick is Luverdense to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Luverdense vs Ceilândia?

On our numbers Luverdense have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ceilândia 10%.

How many goals will there be in Luverdense vs Ceilândia?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Luverdense vs Ceilândia?

Our predicted score is Luverdense 1–0 Ceilândia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Luverdense vs Ceilândia?

Luverdense vs Ceilândia (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Passo das Emas.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.