Value bet: Cascavel to win @ 4.00 – our chance 34% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMarcílio Dias to win ✓40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.11
Marcílio Dias vs Cascavel preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D sees Marcílio Dias take on Cascavel on Sunday 28 June, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Marcílio Dias's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Cascavel 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cascavel's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Marcílio Dias 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Cascavel 2–2 Marcílio Dias.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for Marcílio Dias and 0.8 for Cascavel. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Marcílio Dias 40%, draw 26%, Cascavel 34%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Cascavel to win at 4.00 – 34% on our numbers against 25% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Marcílio Dias 0–0 Cascavel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marcílio Dias40%fair 2.49 · @2.00
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.75
Cascavel34%fair 2.98 · @4.00
1.73Expected goals
0.93Marcílio Dias xG
0.81Cascavel xG
44%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Marcílio Dias 0.9 – 0.8 Cascavel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Marcílio Dias vs Cascavel?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Marcílio Dias vs Cascavel?
On our numbers Marcílio Dias have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cascavel 34%.
How many goals will there be in Marcílio Dias vs Cascavel?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marcílio Dias vs Cascavel?
Our predicted score is Marcílio Dias 0–0 Cascavel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Marcílio Dias vs Cascavel?
Marcílio Dias vs Cascavel (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Juazeirense0
Serra Branca1
Cianorte0
Independiente FSJ1
Noroeste1
Portuguesa RJ3
ABC1
Altos1
Manauara1
Independência1
Ferroviario2
Central SC0
Nacional AM0
Araguaína0
Porto Velho1
Sao Raimundo1