Wednesday, 11 November 2026 14 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
Serie D · Brazil

Nacional AM

WWDLL
0–0
FT

Araguaína

LWLDL

Nacional AM vs Araguaína prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Nacional AM to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultNacional AM to win ✗65% · @1.50
Double chanceNacional AM or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.21

Nacional AM vs Araguaína preview and prediction

The match

The Serie D sees Nacional AM take on Araguaína on Sunday 28 June, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Nacional AM's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Araguaína 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Araguaína's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Nacional AM 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.

Nacional AM arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Araguaína 0–1 Nacional AM.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Nacional AM and 0.9 for Araguaína. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Nacional AM to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Nacional AM 2–0 Araguaína. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Nacional AM65%fair 1.55 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.40
Araguaína16%fair 6.44 · @6.00
3.00Expected goals
2.09Nacional AM xG
0.91Araguaína xG
54%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Nacional AM 2.1 – 0.9 Araguaína expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNacional AM to win ✗65%1.551.50
Double chanceNacional AM or draw ✓84%1.181.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.842.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Half-time resultNacional AM ahead at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nacional AM / FT Nacional AM ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11%9.21–

Form

Nacional AM – last 6

WWDLLW
21 Jun@ Araguaína1–0W
14 Junvs Monte Roraima3–1W
31 May@ Manaus FC1–1D
29 Mayvs Paysandu2–4L
21 May@ Paysandu0–1L
29 Aprvs Guaporé2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Araguaína – last 6

LWLDLW
21 Junvs Nacional AM0–1L
14 Junvs Galvez9–0W
31 May@ Guaporé2–3L
24 Mayvs Porto Velho1–1D
17 May@ Independência0–1L
11 May@ Humaitá7–0W
3.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Araguaína v Nacional AM0–1
Nacional AM vs Araguaína head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Juazeirense0 Serra Branca1 137%2.35X26%2.75237%3.10 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 68%@1.36 ✓
FT Cianorte0 Independiente FSJ1 Pens 5–4 166%1.62X22%3.00212%5.80 1Cianorte to win 66%@1.62 ✗
FT Marcílio Dias2 Cascavel1 140%2.00X26%2.75234%4.00 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✗
FT Noroeste1 Portuguesa RJ3 163%1.95X25%2.90212%3.90 1Noroeste to win 63%@1.95 ✗
FT ABC1 Altos1 165%1.50X25%3.60210%5.50 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓
FT Manauara1 Independência1 176%1.15X16%5.5028%19.00 NGNot both teams to score 54%@1.50 ✗
FT Ferroviario2 Central SC0 158%1.95X24%2.80218%3.90 1XFerroviario or draw 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Porto Velho1 Sao Raimundo1 Pens 164%1.70X21%3.25215%4.75 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nacional AM vs Araguaína?

Our pick is Nacional AM to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Nacional AM vs Araguaína?

On our numbers Nacional AM have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Araguaína 16%.

How many goals will there be in Nacional AM vs Araguaína?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nacional AM vs Araguaína?

Our predicted score is Nacional AM 2–0 Araguaína, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Nacional AM vs Araguaína?

Nacional AM vs Araguaína (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.