Wednesday, 11 November 2026 1 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Presidente Vargas
2–0
FT

Ferroviario vs Central SC prediction & analysis

82%
Footrivo pick

Ferroviario or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Ferroviario to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultFerroviario to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceFerroviario or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.91

Ferroviario vs Central SC preview and prediction

The match

Central SC travel to Estadio Presidente Vargas in the Serie D on Sunday 28 June (21:00 WAT) to face Ferroviario.

Form guide

Ferroviario's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Central SC 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Central SC's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Ferroviario 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Central SC 1–1 Ferroviario.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.3 for Ferroviario and 0.6 for Central SC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Ferroviario or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ferroviario 1–0 Central SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Ferroviario58%fair 1.74 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.80
Central SC18%fair 5.57 · @3.90
1.86Expected goals
1.31Ferroviario xG
0.55Central SC xG
47%Both score
29%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–020%
0–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%

From our goals model: Ferroviario 1.3 – 0.6 Central SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFerroviario to win ✓58%1.741.95 ▲
Double chanceFerroviario or draw ✓82%1.221.20
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.881.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓55%1.80–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%1.98–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ferroviario / FT Ferroviario ✗33%3.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%4.91–

Form

Ferroviario – last 6

DWDWDL
21 Jun@ Central SC1–1D
13 Junvs Fluminense PI1–0W
1 Jun@ TirolCEFAT0–0D
17 Mayvs Uniclinic Atletico Clube2–0W
11 May@ Piauí1–1D
30 Apr@ ABC1–4L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Central SC – last 5

DWLDD
21 Junvs Ferroviario1–1D
14 Junvs Laguna2–1W
29 May@ America-RN0–1L
17 Mayvs Maguary PE0–0D
5 Apr@ Laguna1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Jun 2026Central SC v Ferroviario1–1
Ferroviario vs Central SC head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ferroviario vs Central SC?

Our pick is Ferroviario or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Ferroviario vs Central SC?

On our numbers Ferroviario have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Central SC 18%.

How many goals will there be in Ferroviario vs Central SC?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ferroviario vs Central SC?

Our predicted score is Ferroviario 1–0 Central SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Ferroviario vs Central SC?

Ferroviario vs Central SC (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Presidente Vargas.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.