Wednesday, 11 November 2026 15 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
Serie D · Brazil

Capital Brasilia

DWWDD
4–0
FT

Aparecidense

DDDLD

Capital Brasilia vs Aparecidense prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Capital Brasilia to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.80Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultCapital Brasilia to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceCapital Brasilia or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.12

Capital Brasilia vs Aparecidense preview and prediction

The match

Capital Brasilia host Aparecidense in the Serie D on Saturday 27 June, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Capital Brasilia's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Aparecidense 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Aparecidense's last 5: DDDLD Most recently they drew with Capital Brasilia 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Capital Brasilia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 20 June 2026, finished Aparecidense 1–1 Capital Brasilia.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Capital Brasilia and 0.7 for Aparecidense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 50%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Capital Brasilia to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Capital Brasilia 1–0 Aparecidense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Capital Brasilia62%fair 1.61 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.00
Aparecidense15%fair 6.73 · @4.20
2.32Expected goals
1.66Capital Brasilia xG
0.66Aparecidense xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Capital Brasilia 1.7 – 0.7 Aparecidense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCapital Brasilia to win ✓62%1.611.80 ▲
Double chanceCapital Brasilia or draw ✓85%1.171.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.992.05
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.26–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Capital Brasilia / FT Capital Brasilia ✓38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.12–

Form

Capital Brasilia – last 6

DWWDDD
20 Jun@ Aparecidense1–1D
7 Junvs União Rondonópolis2–0W
30 May@ CEOV Operário5–1W
29 Aprvs Operario Ferroviario2–2D
16 Apr@ Vila Nova0–0D
8 Apr@ Araguaína0–0D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Aparecidense – last 6

DDDLDW
20 Junvs Capital Brasilia1–1D
7 Jun@ Gama2–2D
30 Mayvs Primavera MG1–1D
24 May@ Luverdense0–1L
17 May@ Inhumas1–1D
18 Febvs Centro Oeste4–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Jun 2026Aparecidense v Capital Brasilia1–1
Capital Brasilia vs Aparecidense head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Blumenau1 São Luiz1 Pens 1–3 158%1.85X21%2.88221%4.00 1XBlumenau or draw 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Santa Catarina1 Sao Jose1 Pens 2–4 144%2.15X25%2.70231%3.40 GGBoth teams to score 50%@2.10 ✓
FT Ipatinga2 Vitória ES0 142%2.00X24%2.80234%3.75 NGNot both teams to score 52%@1.65 ✓
FT Maracanã0 Imperatriz0 Pens 6–7 160%1.73X25%3.00215%4.75 1Maracanã to win 60%@1.73 ✗
FT Trem1 Sampaio Correa2 140%2.50X25%2.88235%2.62 GGBoth teams to score 53%@1.83 ✓
FT Água Santa1 Velo Clube1 Pens 1–4 160%1.85X22%2.88217%4.20 1Água Santa to win 60%@1.85 ✗
FT Iguatu1 Tuna Luso1 157%1.80X21%3.10222%4.00 GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.91 ✓
FT Portuguesa1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ0 169%1.25X22%4.5029%11.00 1Portuguesa to win 69%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Capital Brasilia vs Aparecidense?

Our pick is Capital Brasilia to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Capital Brasilia vs Aparecidense?

On our numbers Capital Brasilia have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aparecidense 15%.

How many goals will there be in Capital Brasilia vs Aparecidense?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Capital Brasilia vs Aparecidense?

Our predicted score is Capital Brasilia 1–0 Aparecidense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Capital Brasilia vs Aparecidense?

Capital Brasilia vs Aparecidense (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.