Nice vs Paris Saint Germain preview and prediction
The match
Nice host Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 21 November, with kick-off at 17:15 (WAT) at Allianz Riviera. Nice are 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Paris Saint Germain sit 1st on 23 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Nice's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Angers 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Paris Saint Germain's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Estac Troyes 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Paris Saint Germain arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.2 for Nice and 1.9 for Paris Saint Germain. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nice 21%, draw 20%, Paris Saint Germain 59%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.50.
Prediction
Our prediction: Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Nice 1–1 Paris Saint Germain. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nice21%fair 4.83 · @5.50
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @4.50
Paris Saint Germain59%fair 1.70 · @1.45
3.09Expected goals
1.21Nice xG
1.88Paris Saint Germain xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Nice 1.2 – 1.9 Paris Saint Germain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Nice
Paris Saint Germain
Attack vs Ligue 1 average
+3%
+39%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
-27%
Our expected goals here
1.23
1.63
Our own ratings from every Ligue 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris Saint Germain to win
59%
1.70
1.45
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
83%
1.20
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
58%
1.73
1.80
Half-time result
Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris Saint Germain / FT Paris Saint Germain
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.28
–
Form
Nice – last 6
WWWLWW
8 Nov
@ Angers
2–0
W
31 Oct
vs Rennes
5–2
W
23 Oct
@ Stade Brestois 29
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Lyon
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Strasbourg
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Lille
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain – last 6
WWWWWW
7 Nov
vs Estac Troyes
1–0
W
3 Nov
@ Villarreal
6–0
W
30 Oct
@ Le Havre
5–1
W
26 Oct
vs Lyon
2–0
W
20 Oct
vs Barcelona
4–2
W
17 Oct
@ Strasbourg
3–1
W
3.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nice and Paris Saint Germain.
What is the prediction for Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?
On our numbers Nice have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Paris Saint Germain 59%.
How many goals will there be in Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our predicted score is Nice 1–1 Paris Saint Germain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?
Nice vs Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Riviera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
