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Ligue 1 · France · Stade Louis II

Monaco

DWLDW
Sat 21 Nov 2026

Auxerre

LLDWL

Monaco vs Auxerre prediction & analysis

66%
Footrivo pick

Monaco to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMonaco to win66% · @1.40
Double chanceMonaco or draw87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.22

Monaco vs Auxerre preview and prediction

The match

Auxerre travel to Stade Louis II in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 21 November (20:45 WAT) to face Monaco. Monaco are 7th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Auxerre sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Monaco's last 5: DWLDW Most recently they drew with Le Mans 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Auxerre's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Paris FC 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.5 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Monaco 2–2 Auxerre.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Monaco and 1.0 for Auxerre. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Prediction

Our pick: Monaco to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Monaco 2–1 Auxerre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Monaco66%fair 1.50 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.75
Auxerre13%fair 7.76 · @7.00
3.27Expected goals
2.27Monaco xG
1.00Auxerre xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Monaco 2.3 – 1.0 Auxerre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Footrivo team ratings

MonacoAuxerre
Attack vs Ligue 1 average+9%-10%
Goals conceded vs average-9%+31%
Our expected goals here2.341.10

Our own ratings from every Ligue 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMonaco to win66%1.501.40
Double chanceMonaco or draw87%1.151.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score61%1.631.70
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals82%1.211.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals64%1.571.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals59%1.711.62
Half-time resultMonaco ahead at half-time49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Monaco / FT Monaco43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.22–

Form

Monaco – last 6

DWLDWL
8 Nov@ Le Mans1–1D
5 Novvs FC Nordsjaelland2–0W
1 Nov@ Paris FC1–3L
25 Octvs Lille1–1D
22 Octvs SC Freiburg3–0W
18 Oct@ Lorient0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Auxerre – last 6

LLDWLW
7 Novvs Paris FC0–1L
1 Nov@ Strasbourg1–5L
25 Octvs Le Mans1–1D
18 Oct@ Le Havre3–1W
11 Oct@ Rennes1–4L
2 Octvs Clermont Foot4–3W
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Monaco v Auxerre2–2
Monaco vs Auxerre head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain10721+1223
2Lille10631+721
3Paris FC10622+720
4Marseille10604+818
5Lyon10523+617
6Nice10523+317
7Monaco10442+216
8Rennes10514016
9Stade Brestois 2910433+615
10Lorient10433+115
11Lens10415+213
12Toulouse10343+113
13Strasbourg10316-410
14Auxerre10316-1110
15Le Mans10154-78
16Angers10226-108
17Estac Troyes10226-108
18Le Havre10028-132

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monaco vs Auxerre?

Our pick is Monaco to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Monaco vs Auxerre?

On our numbers Monaco have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Auxerre 13%.

How many goals will there be in Monaco vs Auxerre?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Monaco vs Auxerre?

Our predicted score is Monaco 2–1 Auxerre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Monaco vs Auxerre?

Monaco vs Auxerre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Louis II.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.