The Ligue 1 sees Lille take on Lyon on Saturday 21 November, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Lille are 2nd with 21 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Lyon sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Lille's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Rennes 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Lyon's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Stade Brestois 29 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Lille and 0.9 for Lyon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 58% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lille 42%, draw 27%, Lyon 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Prediction
The Footrivo pick: Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Lille 1–0 Lyon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lille42%fair 2.38 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.25
Lyon31%fair 3.23 · @3.00
2.16Expected goals
1.25Lille xG
0.91Lyon xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Lille 1.3 – 0.9 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Lille
Lyon
Attack vs Ligue 1 average
-12%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-39%
-25%
Our expected goals here
1.09
0.71
Our own ratings from every Ligue 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lille to win
42%
2.38
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.48
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.73
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lille / FT Lille
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.19
–
Form
Lille – last 6
WDWDLD
8 Nov
@ Rennes
2–1
W
3 Nov
@ BodoGlimt
0–0
D
30 Oct
vs Lens
1–0
W
25 Oct
@ Monaco
1–1
D
21 Oct
vs Galatasaray
2–4
L
17 Oct
vs Stade Brestois 29
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lyon – last 6
LDWLLW
8 Nov
@ Stade Brestois 29
0–2
L
5 Nov
@ Real Sociedad
1–1
D
31 Oct
vs Angers
2–0
W
26 Oct
@ Paris Saint Germain
0–2
L
22 Oct
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
0–3
L
18 Oct
vs Nice
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lille and Lyon.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Lille vs Lyon?
On our numbers Lille have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Lyon 31%.
How many goals will there be in Lille vs Lyon?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lille vs Lyon?
Our predicted score is Lille 1–0 Lyon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Lille vs Lyon?
Lille vs Lyon (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
