Double chanceParis Saint Germain or draw ✓95% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.55
Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans preview and prediction
The match
Paris Saint Germain host Le Mans in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Parc des Princes. Paris Saint Germain are 1st with 23 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Le Mans sit 15th on 8 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Paris Saint Germain's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Marseille 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Le Mans's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Lorient 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Paris Saint Germain arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.7 for Paris Saint Germain and 0.6 for Le Mans. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paris Saint Germain 80%, draw 15%, Le Mans 5%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.91, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Le Mans. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paris Saint Germain80%fair 1.25 · @1.08
Draw15%fair 6.76 · @12.00
Le Mans5%fair 18.91 · @23.00
3.30Expected goals
2.68Paris Saint Germain xG
0.62Le Mans xG
52%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
3–012%
1–010%
2–18%
4–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Paris Saint Germain 2.7 – 0.6 Le Mans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris Saint Germain to win✓
80%
1.25
1.08
Double chance
Paris Saint Germain or draw✓
95%
1.06
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris Saint Germain / FT Paris Saint Germain✓
57%
1.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.55
–
Form
Paris Saint Germain – last 6
WWWLDD
20 Sep
@ Marseille
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Stade Brestois 29
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Slovan Bratislava
6–1
W
4 Sep
vs Monaco
1–2
L
28 Aug
@ Lille
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Rennes
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Le Mans – last 6
WDDLDL
19 Sep
vs Lorient
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Lens
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Nice
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Rennes
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Le Havre
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paris Saint Germain and Le Mans.
What is the prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans?
On our numbers Paris Saint Germain have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Le Mans 5%.
How many goals will there be in Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans?
Our predicted score is Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Le Mans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans?
Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Parc des Princes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
