The Ligue 1 sees Lorient take on Paris FC on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stade du Moustoir. Lorient are 10th with 15 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Paris FC sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Lorient's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Le Mans 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Paris FC's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Strasbourg 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Paris FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Lorient 1–1 Paris FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Lorient and 1.3 for Paris FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lorient 31%, draw 22%, Paris FC 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Lorient 1–1 Paris FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lorient31%fair 3.25 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Paris FC47%fair 2.13 · @2.20
2.20Expected goals
0.94Lorient xG
1.26Paris FC xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Lorient 0.9 – 1.3 Paris FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Lorient vs Paris FC?
On our numbers Lorient have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paris FC 47%.
How many goals will there be in Lorient vs Paris FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lorient vs Paris FC?
Our predicted score is Lorient 1–1 Paris FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Lorient vs Paris FC?
Lorient vs Paris FC (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Moustoir.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
