Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Fortuna Sittard to win @ 1.67 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFortuna Sittard to win ✓65% · @1.67
Double chanceFortuna Sittard or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66
Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur preview and prediction
The match
Fortuna Sittard host Cambuur in the Eredivisie on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion. Fortuna Sittard are 7th with 20 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Cambuur sit 10th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Fortuna Sittard's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with PSV Eindhoven 2–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Cambuur's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Excelsior 0–4 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Fortuna Sittard arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.5 for Fortuna Sittard and 1.1 for Cambuur. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Fortuna Sittard or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Fortuna Sittard to win at 1.67 – 65% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fortuna Sittard or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fortuna Sittard 2–1 Cambuur. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fortuna Sittard65%fair 1.53 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.10
Cambuur14%fair 7.01 · @4.40
3.62Expected goals
2.48Fortuna Sittard xG
1.14Cambuur xG
62%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Fortuna Sittard 2.5 – 1.1 Cambuur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fortuna Sittard to win✓
65%
1.53
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Fortuna Sittard or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.62
Half-time result
Fortuna Sittard ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fortuna Sittard / FT Fortuna Sittard✓
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Form
Fortuna Sittard – last 6
DWLLWW
8 Aug
@ PSV Eindhoven
2–2
D
31 Jul
vs Apoel Nicosia
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Metz
1–3
L
17 Jul
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
1–3
L
11 Jul
vs Genk
2–1
W
3 Jul
vs K. Lierse S.K.
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Cambuur – last 6
LLLWWL
7 Aug
vs Excelsior
0–4
L
1 Aug
@ Bologna
1–3
L
28 Jul
vs Volos NFC
1–2
L
24 Jul
vs Utrecht
1–0
W
10 Jul
vs Roda
2–1
W
4 Jul
@ Excelsior
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortuna Sittard and Cambuur.
What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur?
Our pick is Fortuna Sittard or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur?
On our numbers Fortuna Sittard have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cambuur 14%.
How many goals will there be in Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur?
Our predicted score is Fortuna Sittard 2–1 Cambuur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur?
Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
