Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAZ Alkmaar to win ✓41% · @2.36
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar preview and prediction
The match
The Eredivisie sees Utrecht take on AZ Alkmaar on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 17:45 (WAT) at Stadion Galgenwaard. Utrecht are 14th with 12 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while AZ Alkmaar sit 5th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Utrecht's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Groningen 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
AZ Alkmaar's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat ADO Den Haag 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AZ Alkmaar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Utrecht 2–0 AZ Alkmaar.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Utrecht and 1.4 for AZ Alkmaar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Utrecht 37%, draw 21%, AZ Alkmaar 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Utrecht 1–1 AZ Alkmaar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Utrecht37%fair 2.68 · @2.62
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.75
AZ Alkmaar41%fair 2.42 · @2.36
2.80Expected goals
1.36Utrecht xG
1.44AZ Alkmaar xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Utrecht 1.4 – 1.4 AZ Alkmaar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
On our numbers Utrecht have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AZ Alkmaar 41%.
How many goals will there be in Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our predicted score is Utrecht 1–1 AZ Alkmaar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Galgenwaard.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
