Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.59 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.59Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNEC Nijmegen to win ✓66% · @1.59
Double chanceNEC Nijmegen or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen preview and prediction
The match
NEC Nijmegen travel to Koning Willem II Stadion in the Eredivisie on Saturday 15 August (15:30 WAT) to face Willem II. Willem II are 18th with 3 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while NEC Nijmegen sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Willem II's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to GO Ahead Eagles 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
NEC Nijmegen's last 5: DLDLL Most recently they drew with Olympiakos Piraeus 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.1 for Willem II and 2.6 for NEC Nijmegen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Willem II 12%, draw 21%, NEC Nijmegen 66%.
Safer route: NEC Nijmegen or draw (88%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was NEC Nijmegen to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.59, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Willem II 1–2 NEC Nijmegen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Willem II12%fair 8.04 · @4.75
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.35
NEC Nijmegen66%fair 1.51 · @1.59
3.68Expected goals
1.12Willem II xG
2.56NEC Nijmegen xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
1–17%
0–37%
0–16%
From our goals model: Willem II 1.1 – 2.6 NEC Nijmegen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NEC Nijmegen to win✓
66%
1.51
1.59 ▲
Double chance
NEC Nijmegen or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.70
Half-time result
NEC Nijmegen ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NEC Nijmegen / FT NEC Nijmegen✓
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.80
–
Form
Willem II – last 6
LWWDLL
8 Aug
@ GO Ahead Eagles
1–4
L
1 Aug
vs OFI
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs KV Mechelen
1–0
W
11 Jul
vs FC Eindhoven
2–2
D
4 Jul
vs Quick Boys
1–2
L
20 May
vs FC Volendam
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen – last 6
DLDLLW
11 Aug
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Telstar
1–2
L
4 Aug
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
0–0
D
31 Jul
vs Sevilla
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs SV Elversberg
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Al-Fayha
7–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Willem II and NEC Nijmegen.
What is the prediction for Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our pick is NEC Nijmegen to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.59.
Who will win Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
On our numbers Willem II have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and NEC Nijmegen 66%.
How many goals will there be in Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our predicted score is Willem II 1–2 NEC Nijmegen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Koning Willem II Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
