Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport prediction & analysis
70%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.31
7/10Rating
1.31Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlmere City FC to win66% · @1.39
Double chanceAlmere City FC or draw86% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score64% · @1.49
GoalsOver 2.5 goals70% · @1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.70
Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport preview and prediction
The match
Helmond Sport travel to Yanmar Stadion in the Eerste Divisie on Saturday 14 November (20:00 WAT) to face Almere City FC. Almere City FC are 9th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while Helmond Sport sit 7th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Almere City FC's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Jong AZ 3–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Helmond Sport's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to FC Volendam 2–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Almere City FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 February 2026, finished Almere City FC 0–1 Helmond Sport.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.5 for Almere City FC and 1.1 for Helmond Sport. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Almere City FC 66%, draw 20%, Helmond Sport 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.49.
Prediction
Our prediction: Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: Almere City FC 2–1 Helmond Sport. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Almere City FC66%fair 1.52 · @1.39
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.95
Helmond Sport14%fair 7.16 · @6.05
3.65Expected goals
2.50Almere City FC xG
1.14Helmond Sport xG
64%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Almere City FC 2.5 – 1.1 Helmond Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Almere City FC
Helmond Sport
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
+17%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
-21%
+22%
Our expected goals here
2.58
1.19
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport?
On our numbers Almere City FC have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Helmond Sport 14%.
How many goals will there be in Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport?
Our predicted score is Almere City FC 2–1 Helmond Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport?
Almere City FC vs Helmond Sport (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanmar Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
