Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Rat Verlegh StadionNAC Breda vs Emmen prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.41
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: NAC Breda 2.3 – 1.2 Emmen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
NAC Breda are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 19% for Emmen.
NAC Breda have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.3 per game. Emmen have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (2.3 for NAC Breda, 1.2 for Emmen). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.41 is close to our fair price of 1.53.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | NAC Breda to win | 62% | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | NAC Breda or draw | 81% | 1.23 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 61% | 1.64 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | 1.10 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 | 1.41 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 | 1.67 |
| Half-time result | NAC Breda ahead at half-time | 46% | 2.15 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT NAC Breda / FT NAC Breda | 40% | 2.47 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 | 10% | 10.31 | – |
Form
NAC Breda – last 6
| 6 Nov | @ Dordrecht | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Nov | @ Jong PSV U21 | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | @ JOS Watergraafsmeer | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Oct | vs Heracles | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Oct | @ Helmond Sport | 2–0 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs MVV | 1–0 | W |
Emmen – last 6
| 8 Nov | vs MVV | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Oct | vs Den Bosch | 0–5 | L |
| 29 Oct | @ Groningen | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | @ Vitesse | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Almere City FC | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | @ Dordrecht | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NAC Breda and Emmen.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 14 | +29 | 35 |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo | 14 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Almere City FC | 14 | +16 | 28 |
| 4 |  NAC Breda | 14 | +5 | 25 |
| 5 |  Roda | 14 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 |  Emmen | 14 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 14 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |  MVV | 14 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 |  Den Bosch | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Vitesse | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Waalwijk | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Jong AZ | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Jong PSV U21 | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 |  Jong Ajax | 14 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 |  De Graafschap | 13 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  FC OSS | 14 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Helmond Sport | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 14 | -16 | 12 |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 |  FC Eindhoven | 14 | -13 | 11 |
More Eerste Divisie predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for NAC Breda vs Emmen?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win NAC Breda vs Emmen?
On our numbers NAC Breda have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Emmen 19%.
How many goals will there be in NAC Breda vs Emmen?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is NAC Breda vs Emmen?
NAC Breda vs Emmen (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Rat Verlegh Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.