Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · De VijverbergDe Graafschap vs FC OSS prediction & analysis
De Graafschap to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.57
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: De Graafschap 2.4 – 1.0 FC OSS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
De Graafschap are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 12% for FC OSS.
De Graafschap have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. FC OSS have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (2.4 for De Graafschap, 1.0 for FC OSS). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (8%).
Our pick is De Graafschap to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is better than our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | De Graafschap to win | 66% | 1.52 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | De Graafschap or draw | 88% | 1.14 | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 64% | 1.56 | 1.42 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 | 1.06 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 | 1.80 |
| Half-time result | De Graafschap ahead at half-time | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT De Graafschap / FT De Graafschap | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 | 10% | 10.31 | – |
Form
De Graafschap – last 6
| 30 Oct | @ FC Volendam | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Oct | @ Roda | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Oct | vs Waalwijk | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | @ Jong Ajax | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Jong Utrecht | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ FC Eindhoven | 2–2 | D |
FC OSS – last 6
| 6 Nov | vs Waalwijk | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Nov | @ Heracles | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | @ PEC Zwolle | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Oct | vs Jong Ajax | 3–3 | D |
| 16 Oct | @ Den Bosch | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Helmond Sport | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between De Graafschap and FC OSS.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 14 | +29 | 35 |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo | 14 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Almere City FC | 14 | +16 | 28 |
| 4 |  NAC Breda | 14 | +5 | 25 |
| 5 |  Roda | 14 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 |  Emmen | 14 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 14 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |  MVV | 14 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 |  Den Bosch | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Vitesse | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Waalwijk | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Jong AZ | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Jong PSV U21 | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 |  Jong Ajax | 14 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 |  De Graafschap | 13 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  FC OSS | 14 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Helmond Sport | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 14 | -16 | 12 |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 |  FC Eindhoven | 14 | -13 | 11 |
More Eerste Divisie predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for De Graafschap vs FC OSS?
Our pick is De Graafschap to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win De Graafschap vs FC OSS?
On our numbers De Graafschap have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC OSS 12%.
How many goals will there be in De Graafschap vs FC OSS?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is De Graafschap vs FC OSS?
De Graafschap vs FC OSS (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at De Vijverberg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.