Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Mandemakers StadionWaalwijk vs Den Bosch prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.36
Value bet: Waalwijk to win @ 1.86 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Waalwijk 2.1 – 1.2 Den Bosch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Waalwijk hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 23% for Den Bosch.
Waalwijk have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (0W 4D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Den Bosch have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. Den Bosch come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.3 goals (2.1 for Waalwijk, 1.2 for Den Bosch). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.49. For a bigger price, Waalwijk to win at 1.86 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Waalwijk to win | 57% | 1.75 | 1.86 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 80% | 1.25 | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 67% | 1.49 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.18 | 1.07 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | 1.34 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 | 1.80 |
| Half-time result | Waalwijk ahead at half-time | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Waalwijk / FT Waalwijk | 36% | 2.77 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 | 10% | 10.32 | – |
Form
Waalwijk – last 6
| 6 Nov | @ FC OSS | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Oct | vs Almere City FC | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | @ Barendrecht | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Oct | @ De Graafschap | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | vs FC Volendam | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Oct | @ Heracles | 0–3 | L |
Den Bosch – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs Jong Utrecht | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Oct | @ Emmen | 5–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | @ Rijnsburgse Boys | 5–3 | W |
| 23 Oct | vs MVV | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Oct | vs FC OSS | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | @ Jong AZ | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Waalwijk and Den Bosch.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 14 | +29 | 35 |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo | 14 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Almere City FC | 14 | +16 | 28 |
| 4 |  NAC Breda | 14 | +5 | 25 |
| 5 |  Roda | 14 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 |  Emmen | 14 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 14 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |  MVV | 14 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 |  Den Bosch | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Vitesse | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Waalwijk | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Jong AZ | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Jong PSV U21 | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 |  Jong Ajax | 14 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 |  De Graafschap | 13 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  FC OSS | 14 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Helmond Sport | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 14 | -16 | 12 |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 |  FC Eindhoven | 14 | -13 | 11 |
More Eerste Divisie predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Waalwijk vs Den Bosch?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Waalwijk vs Den Bosch?
On our numbers Waalwijk have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Den Bosch 23%.
How many goals will there be in Waalwijk vs Den Bosch?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
When is Waalwijk vs Den Bosch?
Waalwijk vs Den Bosch (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Mandemakers Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.