The Eerste Divisie sees Heracles take on Vitesse on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 15:30 (WAT) at Polman Stadion. Heracles are 16th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Vitesse sit 15th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Heracles's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Almere City FC 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game.
Vitesse's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Jong PSV U21 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Heracles arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.5 for Heracles and 1.2 for Vitesse. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Heracles 64%, draw 22%, Vitesse 14%.
Safer route: Heracles or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Heracles 2–1 Vitesse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heracles64%fair 1.56 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @4.50
Vitesse14%fair 7.03 · @5.25
3.73Expected goals
2.53Heracles xG
1.20Vitesse xG
66%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
1–17%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Heracles 2.5 – 1.2 Vitesse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heracles to win✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Double chance
Heracles or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.80
Half-time result
Heracles ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heracles / FT Heracles✓
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.86
–
Form
Heracles – last 6
LWWWWW
18 Sep
@ Almere City FC
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Jong AZ
3–2
W
4 Sep
vs De Graafschap
5–0
W
30 Aug
@ FC Eindhoven
3–1
W
24 Aug
@ Jong Utrecht
6–1
W
14 Aug
vs Den Bosch
3–2
W
3.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Vitesse – last 6
WLWWLW
19 Sep
vs Jong PSV U21
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Roda
0–1
L
4 Sep
vs FC OSS
2–1
W
28 Aug
@ Den Bosch
4–1
W
21 Aug
vs Almere City FC
0–3
L
17 Aug
@ Jong Utrecht
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heracles and Vitesse.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Heracles vs Vitesse?
On our numbers Heracles have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vitesse 14%.
How many goals will there be in Heracles vs Vitesse?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heracles vs Vitesse?
Our predicted score is Heracles 2–1 Vitesse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Heracles vs Vitesse?
Heracles vs Vitesse (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Polman Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
