Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Kras StadionFC Volendam vs VVV Venlo prediction & analysis
FC Volendam to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FC Volendam 2.7 – 1.4 VVV Venlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
FC Volendam are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 21% for VVV Venlo.
FC Volendam have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.8 per game. VVV Venlo have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. VVV Venlo come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.1 goals (2.7 for FC Volendam, 1.4 for VVV Venlo). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (8%), 3–1 (8%), 1–1 (6%).
Our pick is FC Volendam to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.73 is better than our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | FC Volendam to win ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.73 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | 1.07 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.67 |
| Half-time result | FC Volendam ahead at half-time ✓ | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT FC Volendam / FT FC Volendam ✓ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 11.83 | – |
Form
FC Volendam – last 6
| 18 Sep | @ Jong AZ | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Den Bosch | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ Emmen | 3–5 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Dordrecht | 6–1 | W |
| 21 Aug | @ MVV | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs FC OSS | 3–0 | W |
VVV Venlo – last 6
| 18 Sep | @ Jong Utrecht | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs FC OSS | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ Helmond Sport | 2–4 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Emmen | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | vs De Graafschap | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Aug | @ NAC Breda | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Volendam and VVV Venlo.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 14 | +29 | 35 |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo | 14 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Almere City FC | 14 | +16 | 28 |
| 4 |  NAC Breda | 14 | +5 | 25 |
| 5 |  Roda | 14 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 |  Emmen | 14 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 14 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |  MVV | 14 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 |  Den Bosch | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Vitesse | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Waalwijk | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Jong AZ | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Jong PSV U21 | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 |  Jong Ajax | 14 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 |  De Graafschap | 13 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  FC OSS | 14 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Helmond Sport | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 14 | -16 | 12 |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 |  FC Eindhoven | 14 | -13 | 11 |
More Eerste Divisie predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo?
Our pick is FC Volendam to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo?
On our numbers FC Volendam have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 12% and VVV Venlo 21%.
How many goals will there be in FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
When is FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo?
FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Kras Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.