Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.77 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.77Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJong AZ to win ✗64% · @1.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.38
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Jong AZ vs MVV preview and prediction
The match
MVV travel to AFAS Trainingscomplex in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 28 August (19:00 WAT) to face Jong AZ. Jong AZ are 19th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom three), while MVV sit 8th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jong AZ's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Emmen 1–3 away. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
MVV's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to KRC Genk II 0–6 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 March 2026, finished Jong AZ 1–1 MVV.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for Jong AZ and 1.2 for MVV. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jong AZ 64%, draw 12%, MVV 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.38.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Jong AZ to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.77, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Jong AZ 2–1 MVV. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jong AZ64%fair 1.56 · @1.77
Draw12%fair 8.19 · @4.20
MVV24%fair 4.23 · @3.80
3.52Expected goals
2.27Jong AZ xG
1.24MVV xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Jong AZ 2.3 – 1.2 MVV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Jong AZ to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Jong AZ vs MVV?
On our numbers Jong AZ have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 12% and MVV 24%.
How many goals will there be in Jong AZ vs MVV?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong AZ vs MVV?
Our predicted score is Jong AZ 2–1 MVV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Jong AZ vs MVV?
Jong AZ vs MVV (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Trainingscomplex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
