Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Parkstad Limburg StadionRoda vs NAC Breda prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Roda 1.3 – 1.5 NAC Breda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Roda and NAC Breda on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 42% for the visitors and 22% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Roda have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 per game. NAC Breda have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.3 for Roda, 1.5 for NAC Breda). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.29.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | NAC Breda to win ✗ | 42% | 2.37 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT NAC Breda / FT NAC Breda ✗ | 24% | 4.19 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.88 | – |
Form
Roda – last 6
| 21 Aug | @ Dordrecht | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | vs Helmond Sport | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Aug | @ Emmen | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Alemannia Aachen | 2–4 | L |
| 17 Jul | vs Beerschot VA | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Jul | @ Cambuur | 1–2 | L |
NAC Breda – last 6
| 22 Aug | vs Jong Ajax | 3–2 | W |
| 14 Aug | vs VVV Venlo | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Aug | @ FC OSS | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Bolton | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jul | vs OFI | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Jul | @ Lokeren-Temse | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roda and NAC Breda.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 14 | +29 | 35 |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo | 14 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Almere City FC | 14 | +16 | 28 |
| 4 |  NAC Breda | 14 | +5 | 25 |
| 5 |  Roda | 14 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 |  Emmen | 14 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 14 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |  MVV | 14 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 |  Den Bosch | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Vitesse | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Waalwijk | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Jong AZ | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Jong PSV U21 | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 |  Jong Ajax | 14 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 |  De Graafschap | 13 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  FC OSS | 14 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Helmond Sport | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 14 | -16 | 12 |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 |  FC Eindhoven | 14 | -13 | 11 |
More Eerste Divisie predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Roda vs NAC Breda?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Roda vs NAC Breda?
On our numbers Roda have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and NAC Breda 42%.
How many goals will there be in Roda vs NAC Breda?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Roda vs NAC Breda?
Roda vs NAC Breda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.