Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Almere City FC to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVitesse to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.60
Vitesse vs Almere City FC preview and prediction
The match
Almere City FC travel to GelreDome in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 21 August (19:00 WAT) to face Vitesse. Vitesse are 15th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Almere City FC sit 9th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vitesse's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Jong Utrecht 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Almere City FC's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Jong PSV U21 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished Vitesse 1–3 Almere City FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Vitesse and 1.5 for Almere City FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vitesse 41%, draw 22%, Almere City FC 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Almere City FC to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Vitesse 1–1 Almere City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vitesse41%fair 2.46 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.70
Almere City FC37%fair 2.69 · @3.10
3.05Expected goals
1.57Vitesse xG
1.48Almere City FC xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Vitesse 1.6 – 1.5 Almere City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Vitesse vs Almere City FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Vitesse vs Almere City FC?
On our numbers Vitesse have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Almere City FC 37%.
How many goals will there be in Vitesse vs Almere City FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitesse vs Almere City FC?
Our predicted score is Vitesse 1–1 Almere City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Vitesse vs Almere City FC?
Vitesse vs Almere City FC (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at GelreDome.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
